Yellow Hill Road, Montserrat – Saturday, 2 September 2023: The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is closely monitoring the progress of Tropical Disturbance 1 located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic moving generally westward with a high chance of development in 7 days. The seven-day forecast cone, or “cone of uncertainty” includes Montserrat, hence, Residents are encouraged to have their hurricane kits ready with enough supplies to last for at least three days, pay close attention to information, issued by the DMCA and be prepared.

Tropical Disturbance 1 is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system by the middle part of next week, and a tropical depression is likely to form while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central portions of the tropical Atlantic.

Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 20 percent.
Formation chance through seven days: low, 70 percent.

The DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 1 and provide regular updates until the system passes Montserrat.