A Tropical Cyclone Alert remains in effect for Montserrat.
A tropical cyclone alert means, in this case, that Hurricane Erin is within our monitored area but not close enough for a watch or warning to be issued.
In its Tropical Cyclone Information Statement issued at 12:15 p.m. on Friday, August 15, 2025, the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service indicated that the best forecast remains for the centre of Erin to pass northeast then north of all the islands. The chance of storm-force winds reaching the mentioned islands is low. However, any shift towards the islands could bring the core of the system uncomfortably close to the islands late tonight into Sunday. The risk from swells will rise; hence, those near coastal areas should be aware. Other hazards, such as heavy rainfall accompanied by strong gusty winds, are also possible within outer rain bands
Residents on Montserrat should monitor the progress of this cyclone and, to be safe, be prepared for the rest of the hurricane season.
At 11:00 am, the center of Hurricane Erin was located near latitude 18.2 north, longitude 56.1 or 460 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands.
Erin is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). This motion is expected to continue into the weekend. On the current forecast track, the center of Erin is expected to pass northeast to north of the area during the weekend
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Erin is forecast to become a major hurricane over the weekend.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles mainly to the north of the center.
The minimum central pressure is 996 mb.
Swells from Erin would cause marine conditions to deteriorate, and mariners are advised to remain in port and ensure that their vessels are safely moored.
Rainfall amounts of 2 -4 inches are possible, which could cause flooding in low-lying and flood-prone areas; hence, residents should move to a safer location.