Urgent – Marine Weather Message – Small Craft Advisory goes into effect late Tuesday until Wednesday for mainly open waters on the Atlantic side of Montserrat out to 20 nautical miles.

According to a Small Craft Advisory issued by Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services, inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

Synopsis: A combination of wind waves and wind swells is expected to cause hazardous seas, especially on the Atlantic sides of the islands. The threat level to the life, livelihood, property and infrastructure of mariners is to rise to moderate with the potential for significant impacts. A small craft advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots and or wind waves and or wind swells of 7 feet or greater are occurring or imminent.

Winds Over Open Waters: East-southeast at 24 to 37 km/h (13 to 20 knots; 15 to 23 mph), with strong gusts to 57 km/h (31 knots; 36 mph).

Seas (significant wave heights): 1.5 to 2.4 metres (5 to 8 feet), occasionally or locally reaching near 3 metres (10 feet). Wind waves and or wind swells of 1.5 to 2.4 metres or 5 to 8 feet and occasionally higher. The dominant wind-wave period is 6 to 9 seconds. Seas will peak on Wednesday.

Potential Impacts: Loss of life at sea; injuries to mariners; capsize or damage or loss of vessels and marine equipment; financial losses; disruption of fisheries and scarcity of fish products and disruption to marine transportation.

Forecaster: Dale Destin

As Montserratians reflect on the catastrophic 1997 Soufrière Hills Volcanic Eruption today; DMCA highlights the importance of Developing a “culture of disaster preparedness” on Montserrat to natural and technological hazards!

26 years ago, on Wednesday, June 25, 1997; after two years after the start of volcanic activities on Montserrat; 19 people tragically lost their lives at approximately 12:55 pm, when a dome collapsed at the Soufriere Hills Volcano occurred.

In the following 25 minutes, a series of devastating flows (the largest pyroclastic flows to date) swept the northern flanks of the volcano, down Mosquito Ghaut and followed the Paradise River almost to the sea

The flows and associated surge clouds damaged or destroyed between 100 to 150 houses, with the villages of Streatham, Dyers, Harris, Bethel, Bramble, Trants, Farms and Spanish Point.

Initially, 8 people were confirmed dead, and a further 11 were missing. Five people also suffered serious burns.

Today, as we reflect and remember the June 25th, 1997 catastrophic volcanic eruption, we take a moment of silence to mourn and pay our respect to the nineteen individuals who lost their lives in the eastern corridors where the fertile lands were located, engaging in sustenance farming, to supply not only their households but also the wider Montserrat community.

Montserrat, due to its geographical location and is situated in a seismically active region is vulnerable to many natural and man-made hazards such as volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, tropical storms, flash floods, lahars, landslides, fires, pandemics, cyberattacks and terrorism among many others. Hence, developing a “culture of disaster preparedness is a must.

Creating a culture of preparedness is much more than creating an emergency supply kit and a disaster plan to protect families and businesses. It means examining and preparing for all types of natural hazards that can impact your homes, businesses, and communities. Establishing a Culture of Preparedness also means residents practicing their emergency plans with formal and informal drills and exercises and ensuring that adult family and business members can activate the plan. Also, a culture of Preparedness includes regular updates to family, business, and organizational emergency plans and emergency contact information for the ultimate protection of families and businesses.

The power of “simple things” such as setting up personal emergency plans together with your family and friends by discussing emergency contacts, meeting points, means of communication etc. Use simple reminders to have these emergency plans and information readily available, e.g., as a pic on your mobile phone, in your purse, or to stick on the fridge. Also, be on the lookout for publicly displayed information about how to prepare for emergencies or disasters.

Disaster preparedness, combined with updated risk information, and timely assessments of damages and needs, are critical to responding to any potential hazard impact.

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TROPICAL STORM CINDY IS PASSING WELL NORTH OF MONTSERRAT; WE ARE IN THE CLEAR FOR NOW -RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HURRICANE SEASON AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS PREPARED!


THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 11 AM TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES SUNDAY JUNE 25 2023 TROPICAL STORM CINDY.

IT STATES THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT.

TO BE SAFE DURING THE HURRICANE SEASON, RESIDENTS MUST HAVE THEIR DISASTER PLANS PREPARED, AND STAY VIGILANT.

AT 11 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING NORTHWEST AND FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA AT 17 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AND CINDY IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BY MONDAY NIGHT.

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THIS IS THE LAST INFORMATION STATEMENT ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICES SAYS DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HIGH CERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL PASS A VERY SAFE DISTANCE AWAY FROM MONTSERRAT. EVEN UNDER THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE THREAT TO THE ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES TODAY, SATURDAY JUNE 24 2023, IT STATES THAT IT IS FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING MONTSERRAT EARLY NEXT WEEK. NEVERTHELESS, TO BE SAFE, RESIDENT SHOULD HAVE THEIR HURRICANE DISASTER PLANS PREPARED AND MONITOR THIS STORM UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA.

NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT, AND THIS IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE.

AT 5 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PASS OVER 200 MILES AWAY FROM THE AREA ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY. MOISTURE TRAILING CINDY COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY

RAINFALL TO THE ISLANDS AROUND MIDWEEK. THE SPECIFIC IMPACT WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM.

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RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND ENSURE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS ARE PREPARED.

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AT AROUND 8 AM SUNDAY, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICES SAYS ITS CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM CINDY, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING MONTSERRAT EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES TODAY, FRIDAY 23 JUNE 2023, GIVEN THE RELATIVELY HIGH CERTAINTY OF THE FORECAST TRACK, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT CINDY WILL PASS A SAFE DISTANCE AWAY FROM THE AREA. EVEN UNDER THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE DIRECT THREAT TO THE ISLANDS. NEVERTHELESS, THIS ASSESSMENT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE, TO BE SAFE, HAVE YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN PREPARED AND CLOSELY MONITOR THIS STORM UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA.

AT 9 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1020 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM COULD BE AT THE NEAREST POINT TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY. THEREAFTER, DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK, CINDY COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE ISLANDS. THE SPECIFIC IMPACT WILL DEPEND ON THE INTENSITY, SIZE, TRACK AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM.

PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA, AND THIS IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND ENSURE THEY HAVE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS PREPARED.

May be an image of map and text that says 'The cone contains the probable path of storm center does not show the size storm. Hazardous conditions can outside the cone. Bermuda 25N Wed AM Sun 8PM Sun 10N AM 8PM Sat MONTSERRAT AMFri TROPICAL STORM CINDY 75W 90W Tropical Storm Cindy Friday June 23, 2023 AST Advisory 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Current information: Center location Maximum sustained wind mph Movement WNW mph Potential track area: Watches: Hurricane 40W Forecast positions: Tropical Cyclone Post/Potential TC Sustained winds: 39 mph S39-73 mph 74-110 mph 110 mph Warnings: Trop Stm Hurricane Trop Stm Current wind field estimate: Hurricane Trop Stm'

AN UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

5 AM UPDATE: A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT – NO SPECIFIC ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS OTHER THAN TO KEEP MONITORING THE MOVEMENT OF TROPICAL STORM BRET!

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON FRIDAY, 23 JUNE 2023.

IT STATES THAT ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET IS FORECAST TO MOVE FURTHER INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE COMING DAYS.

SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING, HOWEVER, RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAIN AND STRONG WINDS IN PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
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AT 5 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST OR ABOUT 231 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 316 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS TROPICAL STORM BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND BRET IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 29.56 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 AM.

FORECASTER JALEEL JACOBS

5 PM UPDATE: A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT – ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, TROPICAL STORM BRET IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT, WELL SOUTH OF AND AT A SAFE DISTANCE FROM MONTSERRAT. NO SPECIFIC ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS OTHER THAN TO KEEP MONITORING THE MOVEMENT OF TROPICAL STORM BRET.

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON THURSDAY, 22 JUNE 2023.

AT 5 PM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 59.6 WEST OR ABOUT 256 MILES SOUTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 416 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
TROPICAL STORM BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 16 MILES PER HOUR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB OR 29.59 INCHES.

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THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 PM.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

11 AM UPDATE: A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT – ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, BRET IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT, WELL SOUTH OF AND AT A SAFE DISTANCE FROM MONTSERRAT. NO SPECIFIC ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS AT THIS TIME OTHER THAN TO KEEP MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM BRET!

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON THURSDAY, 22 JUNE 2023.

IT STATES THAT BRET IS NEARING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO A PORTION OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AT 11 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 57.7 WEST OR ABOUT 309 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 484 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MILES PER HOUR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST TODAY AND SOME WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AFTER BRET PASSES THE ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES.

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THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 5 PM TODAY.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

Urgent – Marine Weather Message – Antigua and Barbuda Met Services issues a High Surf Advisory for Montserrat today, Thursday, 22 June 2023.

According to the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services Moderate long-period swells are expected to reach the area and affect mainly the eastern coastlines. The threat level to the life, livelihood, property and infrastructure of those using the affected coastlines will rise to moderate. These swells could cause life-threatening surfs and rip currents on affected coastlines. A high surf advisory means that dangerous surfs of 2 to 3 metres or 6 to 10 feet will affect some coastlines in the advisory area, producing hazardous conditions.
Location: Reefs and exposed northern coastlines with relatively shallow, gently to moderately sloping, nearshore areas.

Timing: Thursday morning until Friday morning.

Synopsis: Seas (significant wave heights): 2.1 to 3.7 metres (7 to 12 feet), occasionally or locally reaching near 4.6 metres (15 feet). Swell period: 10 to 14 seconds. Swells: East at 1.5 to 2.5 metres (5 to 8 feet) and occasionally higher.

Surfs (breaking swells): Over 2 metres (over 6 feet). These conditions are conducive for dangerous rip currents. Please note that surfs could be as much as twice the height of swells, depending on the bathymetry of the nearshore areas.

Coastal flooding: High tides combined with onshore wind and swell actions could result in localized coastal flooding and beach erosion.

Potential Impacts: Loss of life–strong currents that can carry even the strongest swimmers out to sea; injuries to beachgoers; beach erosion; sea water splashing onto low-lying coastal roads; beach closures; localized disruptions to marine recreation and businesses; financial losses; damage to coral reefs; saltwater intrusion and disruptions to potable water from desalination. High surfs can knock spectators off exposed rocks and jetties.

Precautionary: Beachgoers, especially to the mainly affected coastlines, should be extremely cautious; bathe only where lifeguards are present or on the sheltered, less affected beaches, mainly to the west. Extreme caution is also required by those using the affected non-beach or rocky coastlines.


Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the sandbar and near structures such as groins, jetties and piers. If caught in a rip current, relax and float.


Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Forecaster: Dale Destin