MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY OCTOBER 26TH, 2018

 

SOURCE: A stable air-mass anchored across the area will continue to inhibit significant shower activity for the next 24hrs.

WEATHER TODAY: Sunny with a 10 percent or slight chance of late afternoon showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly fair with a 10 percent or slight chance of showers.

WINDS: Easterly at 6 to17 km/h or 3 to 9 knots and becoming variable to near calm.

SEAS: Slight to moderate with swells up to 1.5 m or 5 feet.

Sunset today: 5:42pm Sunrise tomorrow: 6:05 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST  VALID UP TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 24TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: A settled and an atmosphere low on moisture will restrict shower activity across the region. A weakened pressure gradient will also reduce the strength of the winds across area.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly fair with a 10 percent or slight chance of showers.

WINDS: East-northeast at 9 to 19 km/h or 5 to 10 knots..

SEAS: Slight to moderate with significant wave heights 1.2 to 1.5 metres or 4 to 5 feet..

Sunset today: 5:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:04 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 12TH TO OCTOBER 19TH, 2018

 

The seismic network recorded eight volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.

There have been no measurements of the SO2 flux from the helicopter since 8 October. Data from the new permanent gas-monitoring stations, which are currently being tested, indicate that the flux remains in the range 100 to 400 tonnes per day.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates.

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY OCTOBER 22ND, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: Lingering moisture and instability from the passage of a tropical wave will trigger a few more cloudiness and showers across the area today.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 50 percent or moderate chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

WINDS: East at 11 to 22 km/h or 6 to 12 knots.

SEAS: Moderate with significant wave heights 1.5 metres or 5 feet.

Sunset today: 5:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:04 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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7 DAY MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. OCTOBER 22nd TO SUN. OCTOBER 28th, 2018

 

Monday, October 22nd, 2018 6AM.. 6PM..
Seas.. are North easterly @ 3 to 4′ NE 3 to 4′
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 E 8 to 12 MPH.
Skies.. A “Tropical Wave” goes thru.. Partly Cloudy, with a chance of a PM. shower.

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2018
Seas.. are North easterly @ 3 to 4′ NE 2 to 3′
Winds.. are North-easterly @ 8 to 12 E 8 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Cloudy, with a chance of PM. showers, LOW Pressure system 900 miles East.

Wednesday, October 24th, 2018
Seas.. are 2 to 3′ 2 to 3′
Winds.. are Easterly @ 8 SE 0 MPH.
Skies.. Overnight Showers, A SUNNY DAY, with a chance of PM. showers.

Thursday, October 25th, 2018
Seas.. are NE 2 to 3′ 2 ‘
Winds.. are South-easterly @ 4 S 0 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Cloudy.

Friday, October 26th, 2018
Seas.. are 2 to 3’ 2 ‘
Winds.. are South-easterly @ 4 E 4 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Sunny.

Saturday, October 27th, 2018
Seas.. are NE 2 to 3’ 2 ‘
Winds.. are Easterly @ 4 to 8 E 8 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Sunny.

Sunday, October 28th, 2018
Seas.. are NE 2 to 3′ N 2 to 3’
Winds.. are Easterly @ 8 E 8 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Sunny.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 17TH, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: A tropical wave is approaching the area. It will generate cloudiness and showers across the Islands over the next twenty-four hours.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy becoming increasingly cloudy with a 60 percent or moderate chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers and thunderstorms.

WINDS: East at 15 to 28 km/h or 8 to 15 knots.

SEAS: Moderate with significant wave heights reaching 2.1 metres or 7 feet. A small craft advisory is in effect.

Sunset today: 5:48 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:02 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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DMCA erected signs at sinkhole

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) in conjunction with Search and Rescue erected signs at the sinkhole located in the area of the North West Bluff of Silver Hills last week. According to officials, the sinkhole continues to grow progressively larger and there are signs of an imminent landslide above the sinkhole.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to warn residents, particularly livestock farmers and hikers to be aware of the potential dangers when venturing in the area and to take the necessary precautions.

The DMCA would like to thank the Montserrat Volcano Observatory (MVO) and Caribbean Helicopters for their assistance with this very difficult task. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 5TH TO OCTOBER 12TH, 2018

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded three volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.

Measurements of the SO2 flux were taken from the helicopter on 8 October. Eight traverses were carried out, with an average flux of 173 tonnes per day. Data from the new permanent gas-monitoring stations, which are currently being tested, indicate that the flux remains in the range 100 to 400 tonnes per day.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY OCTOBER 16TH, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: A surface high pressure will generate a gentle to moderate east to southeasterly wind flow across the area.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of showers

WINDS: Easterly 11 to 22 km/h or 6 -12 knots.

SEAS: Slight to moderate with significant wave heights 1.2 to 1.5 metres or 4 to 5 feet..

SUNSET TODAY: 5:48 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:02 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY OCTOBER 12TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: A low to mid-level trough along with some available moisture will continue to enhance the chance of shower activity across the region.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of showers during the morning and, cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers during the afternoon. There is also a moderate chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon period.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers.

WINDS: East-southeast at 9 to 19 km/h or 5 to 10 knots.

SEAS: Long and northerly swells peaking to near 2.1 metres or 7 feet will continue to break on the shores of the island. A high surf advisory is in effect for beachgoers mainly for the north and east beaches.

SUNSET TODAY: 5:51 pm. SUNRISE TOMORROW: 6:01 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.ms and ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

SOURCE: Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services
Lorne Salmon-Forecaster

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