HERE’S TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR MONTSERRAT VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY APRIL 7TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: An atmosphere void of significant moisture will continue to inhibit major shower activity over the Leewards and BVI for the next 24hours; however a weak low level trough could provide a few light sprinkles over the Leewards overnight and early tomorrow

WEATHER Today: Partly sunny with a moderate chance [40%] of a light shower this morning and a low chance [less than 30%] of shower this afternoon

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a moderate chance [40%] of a brief overnight shower

WINDS: East to east-northeast at average speeds between 10-12 knots or 19-22km/h.

SEAS: Moderate: Heights between 1.2-1.5m or 4-5ft.

SUNSET TODAY: 6:23 pm. SUNRISE TOMORROW: 6:01 am.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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SAHARAN DUST AIR QUALITY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEROLOGICAL SERVICES

Air Quality Index (AQI) Based on Particulate Matter 2.5 (PM2.5) Concentration

Synopsis: A surge in Saharan Dust is expected to move across our islands. It will reduce visibility and have health implications for some.

Alert Level: II

AQI: 68

AQI category: Moderate

Timing: Wednesday to Sunday

Sensitive groups: People with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children are the groups most at risk.

Health implications: Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy exertion.

Caution: Active children and adults, and people with respiratory disease, such as asthma, should limit prolonged outdoor exertion.

Keep monitoring. Continue reading

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HERE’S TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR MONTSERRAT VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY APRIL 6TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: Relatively stable atmospheric conditions will restrict the formation of significant clouds and showers over the Leewards and BVI for the next 24 hours

WEATHER: TODAY: Sunny to partly sunny with a slight chance [ 20%] of showers
TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy with a with a low chance [30%] of a brief overnight shower

WINDS: East-northeasterly at average speeds between 10-13knots or 19-24km/h.

SEAS: Slight to moderate: Heights between1- 1.5m or 3-5ft.

SUNSET TODAY: 6:23 pm. SUNRISE TOMORROW: 6:01 am.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR MONTSERRAT VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY APRIL 5TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: Instability and moisture associated with a low level trough is expected to generate some unsettled conditions throughout today.

WEATHER TODAY: Occasionally cloudy with a moderate or 50 percent chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a low or 30 percent chance of showers.

WINDS: East to east-southeast at 9 to 19 km/h or 5 to 10kts.

SEAS: Slight to moderate not exceeding 1.2 m or 4 ft.

SUNSET TODAY: 6:23 pm. SUNRISE TOMORROW: 6:01 am.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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LOCAL MARINE WEATHER FOR MONTSERRAT FROM TUESDAY APRIL 3RD, 2018 TO MONDAY APRIL 9TH, 2O18

TUESDAY APRIL 3RD, 2018
Seas.. are Calm 3 to 4 feet. 3 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 10 to 12 MPH. E 10 to 15 MPH.
Skies.. are Partly Cloudy, with a little light rains in the AM..

WEDNESDAY APRIL 4TH, 2018
Seas.. are Calm 3 feet. 3 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 10 to 15 MPH. E10 to 15 MPH.
Skies.. are Partly Cloudy, with a little light rains in the PM..

THURSDAY APRIL 5TH, 2018
Seas.. are Calm 3 to 4 feet. 3 to 4 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 10 to 15 MPH. E 10 to 15 MPH.
Skies.. are Partly Cloudy..

FRIDAY APRIL 6TH, 2018
Seas.. are Calm 3 to 4 feet. 3 to 4 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 10 to 15 MPH. E 10 to 15 MPH.
Skies.. are Cloudy..

SATURDAY APRIL 7TH, 2018
Seas.. are 3 to 4 feet. 3 to 5 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 15 MPH. E 15 to 20 MPH.
Skies.. are Partly Cloudy..

SUNDAY APRIL 8TH, 2918
Seas.. are 4 to 6 feet. 4 to 6 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 16 to 20 MPH. E 16 to 20 MPH.
Skies.. are Partly Cloudy..

MONDAY APRIL 9TH, 2018
Seas.. are 4 to 6 feet. 4 to 6 feet..
Winds.. are Easterly @ 16 to 20 MPH. E 16 to 20 MPH.
Skies.. are Partly Cloudy..

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY(MVO) WEEKLY REPORT FOR THE PERIOD MARCH 23RD TO MARCH 30TH, 2018

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded two rockfalls and one volcano-tectonic earthquake this week.

Measurements of the SO2 flux were made from the helicopter on 27 and 28 March, with eight traverses on each day. The average flux was 501 tonnes per day on the 27th and 389 tonnes per day on the 28th.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR MONTSERRAT VALID UP TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY APRIL 4TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: The presence of a weak trough coupled with light winds, available moisture and daytime heating will maintain a moderate chance for shower activity over and around the islands today and tonight.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny skies with a moderate (60%) chance of showers mainly during the morning.
TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy skies with a moderate (40%) chance of showers.

WINDS: NE-ENE at 6-15km/h or 3-8kts becoming calm at times..

SEAS: Slight to moderate, swells 1-1.5m or 3-5ft..

SUNSET TODAY: 6:23 pm. SUNRISE TOMORROW: 6:02 am.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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A PLUME OF SAHARAN DUST CONTINUES TO AFFECT MONTSERRAT

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ANOTHER SWELL EVENT TO IMPACT MONTSERRAT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

A powerful low-pressure system is pushing low period swells of moderate heights across the Atlantic that will reach the northern Caribbean, including Antigua and Barbuda. The swells will start to arrive tonight across the Bahamas, tomorrow morning across Hispaniola and Puerto Rico and Wednesday afternoon across the Leeward Islands, including Antigua and Barbuda.

That’s according to Dale Destin, Meteorologist/Climatologist for the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section.

According to Destin, these swells will come nowhere close to the last one in size and duration. The swell waves will be moderate – 2 to 3 metres across the northeast Caribbean and larger for the islands to the west. However, high surfs will pummel our shorelines with heights of 4.5 metres or 15 feet, getting higher as you go west through the islands.

Such high swells and surfs will produce an elevated threat to life and property in the surf zone. The high surfs that will result in beach closures as swimming conditions will become extremely dangerous for beachgoers.

The event will likely cause major beach erosion; possibly flooding of low-lying coastal roads; disruptions to marine recreation and businesses; financial losses and damage to coral reefs.
Although relatively small, this swell episode may also cause disruptions to potable water from desalination as turbulent seas could increase the turbidity of the water above safe levels for the desalting plants.

A high surf warning has been issued by the Met Office for Antigua and the rest of the northeast Caribbean. Other Offices are expected to issue warnings for as far west as the Bahamas and extending south to the northern Windward Islands. Swells could exceed 5 m (17 ft) across the Bahamas.

The impact on shorelines will not be the same everywhere. Depending on the depth, size, shape and the natural shelter of the coastal waters, the impact will be different. Shallow north-facing shorelines are expected to see the highest swells and surfs; especiall for Barbuda and the more northerly islands.

In open waters, the swells will be virtually harmless to small craft operators as they will be long-period, gentle waves.

Again, this is no “swellmageddon”; however, there will be impacts and associated financial losses. Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR MONTSERRAT VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY MARCH 29TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: Despite relatively low moisture levels across the area, the presence of a weak trough coupled with light winds and daytime heating could potentially trigger localized showers across portions of the islands today, with the chances for showers becoming significantly less by tonight.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny skies with a moderate (50%) chance of localized showers mainly on the western side of the islands and a slight (20%) chance of showers elsewhere.

TONIGHT: Mostly fair and cool conditions.

WINDS: NNE at 6-15km/h or 3-8kts becoming variable or calm at times.

SEAS: Moderate to rough, swells 1.5-2.4m or 5-8ft today, increasing to 3.1m or 10ft tonight. Warnings are now in place for small craft operators and sea bathers against hazardous sea conditions mainly along the northern coastal areas..

SUNSET TODAY: 6:22 pm. SUNRISE TOMORROW: 6:04 am.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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