Air Quality Across Montserrat drops to Moderate levels today Wednesday, 12 October 2022, due to the presence of Saharan Dust particles in the Atmosphere!

According to an Air Quality Alert issued by the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services today Wednesday, the air quality has fallen to moderate levels as a result of particulate matters 2.5 and 10, associated with a fresh surge in the Saharan Dust. The threat of health problems is elevated, for mainly unusually sensitive people, such as asthmatics, and could potentially cause them limited health impacts.

Therefore, active children and adults, and, people with respiratory diseases such as asthma, should limit prolonged outdoor exertion.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is advising residents who are unusually sensitive to dust particles to remain extra vigilant due to moderate concentrations of Saharan dust in the atmosphere! Residents with respiratory issues such as asthma should keep windows and doors closed as much as possible.

The DMCA is further advising residents to limit dust entering their system as best as possible by using masks and protective eyewear. Any masks that filter small particles should be worn such as a surgical mask, N95 and KN95 when going outside.

Timing: Until Thursday.


Air quality index: 51 to 60

Alert Level: II

Sensitive groups: People with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children are the groups most at risk.

Health implications: Air quality is acceptable; however, for some pollutants, there may be moderate health concerns for a very small number of people who are unusually sensitive to air pollution.

Continue to monitor DMCA Facebook, Instagram and Twitter social media sites and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily weather updates, public advisories and warnings and information on the wide range of natural and man-made hazards that have the potential to impact Montserrat

Photo Image: Myfoxhurricane

2PM UPDATE: Potential Tropical Cyclone 13 forms in the Caribbean Sea, expected to become a hurricane – The system is not a threat to Montserrat!

Yellow Hill – Thursday, 4 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the Tropical Atlantic. Potential Tropical Cyclone 13 in the Caribbean Sea and Tropical Depression 12 in the Eastern Atlantic are not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

In its 2PM Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, it states that Potential Tropical Cyclone 13 formed in the Caribbean Sea could become a tropical depression by tonight, and is forecast to become a tropical storm on Friday. The system is then expected to become a hurricane by Sunday as it approaches the coast of Nicaragua.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Twelve is barely holding on at this point. This depression is barely a tropical system as it continues to move away from the African coast. There is no chance of development into a tropical storm.

DMCA is urging residents to pay close attention to information issued by the DMCA and be prepared as the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season is far from over.

DMCA will continue to monitor the Tropical Atlantic and provide regular updates as deemed necessary.

8AM UPDATE: Two Systems in the Southeastern Caribbean Sea and the Eastern Atlantic – The systems pose no threat to Montserrat!

Yellow Hill – Thursday, 4 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the Tropical Atlantic. The two systems located in the far southeastern Caribbean Sea and the Eastern Atlantic are not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

In its 8AM Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Disturbance 1 location around the South American coastline could hamper its development over the next day or so, as it still lacks a well-defined center of circulation. However, as the tropical disturbance moves westward, a tropical depression could form in the next couple of days when the system enters the south-central Caribbean Sea. The NHC gives the system an 80% chance of formation in 48 hours and an 90% chance of formation in five days.

Tropical Depression Twelve is centered more than 600 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is forecast to lose its tropical characteristics and become a remnant area of low pressure within the next day.

DMCA is urging residents to pay close attention to information issued by the DMCA and be prepared as the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season is far from over.

DMCA will continue to monitor the Tropical Atlantic and provide regular updates as deemed necessary.

2PM UPDATE: Both Tropical Disturbances in the Atlantic now have a High Chance of Development – The systems are not a threat to Montserrat at this time!

Yellow Hill – Tuesday, 4 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Disturbance 2 (red) located East of the Windward Islands with a medium chance of development in 48 hrs and a high probability of formation in the next 5 days. At this time, the system is not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

According to the 2PM Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Disturbance 2 is located couple of hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands.
Upper-level winds are likely to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days if the system stays far enough away from land while moving westward at about 15 mph across the Windward Islands and the southeastern Caribbean Sea. Conditions appear to become more conducive for development later this week when the system reaches the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward Islands tonight and Wednesday. Interests in the Windward Islands, the ABC Islands, and the northern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating this system. The system has a 40% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 1 located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is becoming better defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near the low’s center. A short-lived tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight before upper-level winds increase and become too hostile for further development on Wednesday. The low is forecast to move northwestward at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic during the next couple of days. Tropical Disturbance 1 has an 80% chance of formation in the next two days and, an 80% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents to continue to monitor the DMCA and be prepared.

DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbances 1 and 2, and provide regular updates as information becomes available.

8AM UPDATE: Development Odds Increase for Tropical Disturbance 2 east of the Windward Islands – The system is not a threat to Montserrat at this time!

Yellow Hill – Tuesday, 4 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Disturbance 2 (orange) located near 10.5N 55W at 8 am today, with a low chance of development in 48 hrs and a medium probability of formation over the next 5 days. At this time, the system is not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

According to the 8AM Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Disturbance 2 located a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands has increased a little this morning, but there are not yet any signs of significant organization. The system is forecast to move westward at about 15 mph, crossing the Windward Islands tonight and early Wednesday. Some slow development is possible while the disturbance continues westward, and a tropical depression could form by late this week or this weekend over the central or western Caribbean Sea. The system has a 20% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 40% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 1 is located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while moving northwestward at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system has a 60% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents to continue to monitor the DMCA and be prepared.

DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbances 1 and 2, and will provide updates as information becomes available.

8AM UPDATE: DMCA Monitors Progress of Tropical Disturbance 2 east of the Windward Islands with a medium chance of development – The system is not a threat to Montserrat at this time!

Yellow Hill – Monday, 3 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is closely monitoring the progress of Tropical Disturbance 2 (orange) formed east of the Windward Islands with a low chance of development in 48 hrs and medium probability over the next 5 days. At this time, the system is not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

According to the 8AM Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Disturbance 2 is located several hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands have become slightly better organized since yesterday. Some further development is possible, and a tropical depression could form within the next few days while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by midweek. Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of the system. The system has a 30% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 40% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 1 is located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of the system is forecast, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle part of this week. Further development will become less likely by the end of the week due to increasing upper-level winds. The system is forecast to move westward, then turn northwestward or northward by the end of the week over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system has a 50% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA and be prepared.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbances 1 and 2, and will provide regular updates as information becomes available.

8AM UPDATE: DMCA Closely monitors Tropical Disturbance 2 (Yellow) several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands with a Low Chance of development over the next 5 days as it tracks westward!

Yellow Hill – Sunday, 2 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is closely monitoring Tropical Disturbance 2 (yellow) located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands with a low chance of development in 48 hrs and over the next 5 days. At this time, the system is not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

In the 8AM Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center states that Tropical Disturbance 2 located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands has increased over the past day or so. Some gradual development of the system is possible during the next few days while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph. The system has a 10% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 20% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 1 is located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favourable for some gradual development during the next several days. Therefore, a tropical depression is likely to form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves westward, then turns northwestward or northward toward the end of the week over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system has a 30% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA and be prepared.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbances 1 and 2, and will provide regular updates as information is released from the NHC and the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services.

2PM UPDATE: Five Tropical Systems in the Atlantic; DMCA monitors the Tropical Atlantic as the season becomes more active!

Yellow Hill – Thursday, 22 September 2022 – Five (5) tropical systems are brewing in the Atlantic on Thursday afternoon, including Hurricane- Fiona, Tropical storm Gaston, Invest 98L and two other (2) tropical disturbances. The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the Tropical Atlantic as the Hurricane season becomes a lot more active. At this time, none of the systems poses a threat to Montserrat, and there are no alerts, watches or warnings in effect for the island.

In its 2 PM Update, The National Hurricane Center states that INVEST 98L located in the southeastern Caribbean Sea is likely to become a tropical depression in the next day or so. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward and be over the central Caribbean Sea this weekend where conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely to affect the Windward Islands, northern Venezuela, and the ABC island chain today. The system now has with an 80% Chance of Development over the next two days and, an 90% chance of development in the next five days.

Disturbance 3 located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Despite marginal environmental conditions, some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves slowly northwestward or northward over the tropical Atlantic. The system has a 20% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 30% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is urging residents and visitors to pay close attention to information issued by the DMCA and be prepared, as the Atlantic Hurricane season lasts until November 30 each year, which means there’s plenty of time for more storms to brew.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance Invest 98L, and provide regular updates as information is released

8AM UPDATE: Two Named Storms, Invest 98L and Two Tropical Disturbances brewing in the Atlantic – Chances remain high for Invest 98L to develop into a Tropical Depression; DMCA continues to monitor its progress!

Yellow Hill – Wednesday, 21 September 2022 – Five (5) tropical systems are in the Atlantic on Thursday morning, including one (1) major hurricane- Fiona, One (1) tropical storm – Gaston, Invest 98L, and two (2) tropical disturbances for potential development. The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the progress of Disturbance INVEST 98L over the southeastern Caribbean Sea likely to become a tropical depression within the next couple of days. The system now has with a 70% Chance of Development over the next two days and, an 90% chance of development in the next five days. At this time, none of the systems poses an immediate threat to Montserrat, and there are no alerts, watches or warnings in effect for the island.

In its 8 AM Update, The National Hurricane Center states that Tropical Disturbance INVEST 98L is located over the southeastern Caribbean Sea. Although upper-level winds are currently inhibiting development, the environment is forecast to gradually become more favourable in a couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form at that time. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the eastern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two, and be over the central Caribbean Sea this weekend. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely to affect the Windward Islands, northern Venezuela, and the ABC island chain today.

Disturbance 3 located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Despite marginal environmental conditions, some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves slowly northwestward or northward over the tropical Atlantic. The system has a 20% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 30% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is reminding residents and visitors to always pay close attention to information issued by the DMCA and be prepared, as the Atlantic Hurricane season lasts until November 30 each year, which means there’s plenty of time for more storms to brew. Stay Prepared!

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance Invest 98L, and provide regular updates as information is released from the NHC.